Solar storm heading to Earth could disrupt communications and bring northern lights to California (2024)

A different kind of storm could complicate this weekend’s plans.

For the first time since January 2005, the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has issued a severe geomagnetic storm watch for Friday evening.

The category G4 watch from NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center signals the possibility that a concentration of energy flaring from the sun could disturb our planet’s electromagnetic field once it reaches Earth.

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A geomagnetic storm of this size could disrupt communications, like the 2003 event that caused blackouts in Sweden and damaged South Africa’s power grid.

More promisingly, super-charged collisions of solar energy into the gas of our atmosphere creates the dazzling phenomena of aurora borealis, or the northern lights. Typically confined to polar regions, the colorful display could be visible this weekend as far south as Northern California.

“We have a very rare event on our hands,” space weather forecaster Shawn Dahl of SWPC said during a news conference Friday morning.

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A geomagnetic storm happens when energy from solar wind — the high-speed current of atomic particles the sun is constantly flinging into space — is transferred into the electromagnetic field that surrounds Earth.

The winds of a Category 5 hurricane on our puny little planet can exceed 150 miles per hour. In contrast, solar wind averages about 870,000 miles per hour all day, every day according to NASA.

Earth’s electromagnetic field deflects the majority of these particles, save for those interactions in the polar areas that produce the northern lights. But unusually intense or concentrated eruptions of energy on the surface of the Sun can disrupt that equilibrium, causing geomagnetic storms like the one potentially headed our way.

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On Wednesday morning, astronomers noted a series of solar flares and coronal mass ejections — essentially, giant explosions of energy — emanating from a massive sunspot more than 15 times the diameter of Earth.

The Space Weather Prediction Center has observed seven coronal mass ejections, or CMEs, heading in Earth’s direction, said Mike Bettwy, operations chief at SWPC.

First G4 (Severe) geomagnetic since 2005 has been issued.

The aurora tonight (5/10) /tomorrow morning (5/11) may become visible over much of the northern half of the country, & possibly as far south as Alabama to northern California. https://t.co/upPlNYuNev@NWSSWPC @NWS pic.twitter.com/JTHmXtRKOc

— NOAA (@NOAA) May 10, 2024

“Based on the data we have, all seven of these are going to be spewing that energy toward us,” Bettwy said.

The energy in these various eruptions is expected to merge and reach the Earth’s magnetic field late Friday or early Saturday.

“Our level of confidence is high that we will have an arrival of these CMEs as early as this evening,” Dahl said. The precise time they’ll arrive is less certain.

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SPWC will have more clear information once that solar energy reaches NASA’s Advanced Composition Explorer spacecraft, a satellite about 1 million miles from Earth.

Yet “even though that sounds like it’s far away . . . it doesn’t necessarily give us a ton of lead time,” Bettwy said. Given that solar wind is moving faster than the speed of sound, it will reach Earth only 20 to 45 minutes after passing that 1-million-mile marker in space.

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Scientists have previously warned that the strongest geomagnetic storms could wreak havoc on our power and communication systems. That is not what’s expected in this case.

Those of us here on Earth may experience power outages and minor internet or GPS glitches, Bettwy said.

“Geomagnetic storms can impact infrastructure in near-Earth orbit and on Earth’s surface, potentially disrupting communications, the electric power grid, navigation, radio and satellite operations,” NOAA said in a statement. “SWPC has notified the operators of these systems so they can take protective action.”

Watches for milder geomagnetic storms are fairly common. In March, a geomagnetic storm briefly reached G4 strength for a few hours.

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That event was the third geomagnetic storm to reach G4 status during the current 11-year solar cycle, which began in 2019, according to the SWPC. At that time, the agency said the event posed no risk of adverse impacts to the public.

“What’s unique about what is potentially about to hit us is that it’s a much more significant event, in terms of what’s going to be hitting the atmosphere,” Bettwy said.

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Solar storm heading to Earth could disrupt communications and bring northern lights to California (2024)

FAQs

Solar storm heading to Earth could disrupt communications and bring northern lights to California? ›

Solar storm heading to Earth could disrupt communications and bring northern lights to California. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory captured a view of a solar flare Thursday. A severe geomagnetic storm watch has been issued for Earth starting Friday. A different kind of storm could complicate this weekend's plans.

Will the solar flare cause northern lights? ›

Auroras are brilliant ribbons of light weaving across Earth's northern or southern polar regions. These natural light shows are caused by magnetic storms that have been triggered by solar activity, such as solar flares (explosions on the Sun) or coronal mass ejections (ejected gas bubbles).

Will the northern lights be visible from California? ›

CC: You might be waiting a long time to see it here again in California and even then, you will likely not see it at its best. If you want to see the aurora in all its glory, I would suggest booking into a hotel near Fairbanks, Alaska for a couple of weeks during mid-winter.

How do solar storms affect communication? ›

Solar storms cause damage to communication systems.

During geomagnetic storms some radio frequencies are absorbed and others are reflected, leading to rapidly fluctuating signals and unexpected propagation paths (reproducing or multiplying in unplanned directions).

Where will the 2024 solar storm hit? ›

A coronal aurora appeared over southwestern British Columbia on May 10, 2024. By one measure of geomagnetic storm strength, called the disturbance storm time index which dates back to 1957, this storm was similar to historic storms in 1958 and 2003.

What are the predictions for the aurora borealis in 2024? ›

As the solar cycle approaches its peak in 2024, scientists anticipate heightened activity in the occurrence of the Northern Lights, also known as the Aurora Borealis. The solar cycle, also known as the sunspot cycle, is a periodic fluctuation in solar activity that typically lasts around 11 years.

Can solar storms affect humans? ›

What impact do solar flares have on human activities? Solar flares produce high energy particles and radiation that are dangerous to living organisms. However, at the surface of the Earth we are well protected from the effects of solar flares and other solar activity by the Earth's magnetic field and atmosphere.

What time are the Northern Lights in California in 2024? ›

It was at its most intense between 11:30pm-12:30am. Like a peaking event, I even saw parts of green appear sporadically low above the horizon to accompany the red display during this time, while fellow colleagues who observed one degree south of me didn't capture any green.

How long will the Northern Lights last? ›

A good display may last between 15 and 30 minutes, although if you're really lucky, it could extend to a couple of hours or longer. To see the Northern Lights, the sky needs to be dark and clear of any clouds.

Has the Northern Lights ever been seen in the US? ›

Many Americans got a rare chance to see the northern lights over the weekend. The aurora borealis appeared over large portions of North America and other parts of the world, fueled by a strong solar storm. But if you missed them, you're not entirely out of luck.

Can solar flares affect cell phones? ›

A blackout of the electrical grid could have cascading effects for communications and other technologies, including cellphones.

Will a solar flare hit Earth in 2025? ›

While Earth mostly succeeded in weathering last weekend's strong solar storm, experts have warned more powerful eruptions could continue to strike until 2025.

Do solar storms affect TV reception? ›

During the solar interference , customers may experience a pixelated picture, picture freezes, or audio distortions for a brief period of time. Fortunately, solar interferences don't impact internet or phone service.

Could a solar storm end life on Earth? ›

Solar flares occur frequently, but generally not with enough force to produce harmful effects on Earth. Scientists can identify three storms in the past 150 years of sufficient magnitude to cause real disruption: one in 1859, one in 1872 and one in 1921.

Do solar storms cause northern lights? ›

Last weekend, a series of powerful solar storms brought the northern lights to the Bay Area and much of the world, illuminating the night skies with a mesmerizing display of color.

How likely is a Carrington event? ›

Based on the readings, the researchers concluded that Carrington-level events likely occur once every 100 to 1000 years. However, without knowing exactly how powerful the event was, scientists can only make educated guesses about how common solar outbursts of its kind may be.

How long does it take from solar flare to aurora? ›

The major coronal mass ejections arrive at Earth between 24 and 48 hours after they were launched. It is thus important to have some patience, there won't be aurora visible directly after a solar flare.

What is causing the Northern Lights? ›

The lights are caused by the interaction between the Earth's magnetic field and charged particles from the sun's atmosphere that enter the earth's atmosphere. A solar flare (energetic particles from the sun) floats through space on the solar wind, eventually penetrating the Earth's magnetic field.

Why are there so many Northern Lights this year? ›

A celestial event called Solar Cycle 25—the cycle the sun goes through around every 11 years—has been the cause of geomagnetic storms that have resulted in recent sightings of the Northern Lights (or aurora borealis), and NASA predicts it will continue on into next year. Cycle 25 began in Dec.

What year will the Northern Lights be the brightest? ›

The Sun's approximate eleven-year activity cycle is predicted to peak this year, prompting BGS scientists to anticipate that 2024 will be the 'Year of the Aurora'.

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